Will the Orchard pool be below 236,900 TAZ at block 4,540,120?

TESTNET / CLOSE 4,540,115 / RESOLVE 4,540,120

Bets close at block 4,540,115. The result is decided at block 4,540,120. Decided by chain data, with no human vote: the outcome follows whether the orchard pool holds less than 236900.00000000 ZEC when the market resolves.

Public odds

YES 0%100% NO

0.07 ZEC in the pool.

YES: 0.00 ZEC
NO: 0.07 ZEC

Anonymous feed

Amounts. Outcomes. Blocks. No sender identities.

0.02 ZECNOBlock 4,540,109

0.02 ZECNOBlock 4,540,105

0.01 ZECNOBlock 4,540,103

0.01 ZECNOBlock 4,540,099

S-05 / SETTLEMENT

Resolution & payout

POOL_THRESHOLD

Resolved

Outcome: NO

getblock / Block 4540120

000023366df5da68162efcb9b60a500f6c2c98e4dbc179daeb3ccb785d51e005

orchard: 236930.32438050 ZEC

Public payout plan

Confirmed

plan_hash: dbc7a969176be6c98c09dc517aae1741b7881b114457c8c6def2067c97a13e75

STANDARD / Cutoff block 4540181

4 winners / 0 refunds / 0 unclaimable / 1 swept

Distributed: 0.06930000 ZEC
Operator fee: 0.00070000 ZEC
Network fee: 0.00025000 ZEC

Signing: 5 / 5 sessions · 2 of 3 members

Public plan items

Note references and receiver commitments. No payout addresses.
Note	Kind	Amount (ZEC)	Receiver commitment
1c48bae6a29d265e	WIN	0.00990000	494eeac998bbdfde64f9687830ca12c97af565f7d4d579d21ff3707e92a02184
43e615a917f12c20	SWEEP	0.00010000	Treasury
47fd0d28d8712f89	WIN	0.02475000	b5c7d22aaa45a4e10cc0940aa000076deb3a1f0a3ff16f2819d6be56ae219a5d
881d3088669f3b2e	WIN	0.00990000	5be6bbf4f547b779f0bb7c8519992d6ea70ea6f9b0dce51071bc92b062653075
8f4cd792f2ac292a	WIN	0.02475000	49f8cdafa453eecaef053a1dd0171a645fe044a015e331da57ae6fbcdca10b1b

Payout transactions

These are escrow payout transaction IDs.

Confirmed

e15ab7328f7ce8c94a2d58bfe94bc93f3d997308c090d86d10407d24cd3ebbdf View on explorer

Confirmed at block 4,540,184

frosted-verify all 99b07cc1fc3682fc2a36820f08b3fd82

Run this on your own node to recompute the plan. Signing progress for every market is on the payout status page.

On-chain proof

Every step of this market is a real testnet Zcash transaction. Open them in a public explorer to see that they exist and when they were mined. Shielded transactions hide amounts and people, so an explorer shows only that they happened.

Market announced (rules locked on-chain): 0f6965669a9cf995f36c15d48ea2f8ea501ed250336dabf710fe998ded529824 View on explorer · block 4,540,044
Bets: Each bet is a shielded transaction in the block shown in the feed above. Bet transaction ids are not published, so bets cannot be linked to anyone.
Payouts: e15ab7328f7ce8c94a2d58bfe94bc93f3d997308c090d86d10407d24cd3ebbdf View on explorer

For checkers

You do not need this to bet. It is the raw proof that the rules cannot change and that anyone can recompute the result.

Locked rules

POOL_THRESHOLD · 1% operator fee. Locked at announcement block 4540044. The rules_hash is a fingerprint of these rules: change one character and it changes.

{
  "pool": "orchard",
  "comparator": "lt",
  "threshold_zat": 23690000000000
}

rules_hash

7b3f2c770ca76d307f8147a4691cb7197bbdb16414b13c504210c70370c18aa0

Full market definition

{
  "version": 1,
  "params_version": 1,
  "network": "testnet",
  "market_id": "99b07cc1fc3682fc2a36820f08b3fd82",
  "question": "Will the Orchard pool be below 236,900 TAZ at block 4,540,120?",
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "outcome_index": 0,
      "label": "YES",
      "address": "utest15vchu6jmw3qvrrewy0nuel7tcftxjxwkru7vrdh28893wspqmr5m5prfmp39dzaxu5x24rnzwu3gyx2pnamka5s34nmwhjunkyr9exaw"
    },
    {
      "outcome_index": 1,
      "label": "NO",
      "address": "utest1uta6ty58vjmgv4zhz8whnzyaz8a9d8vz92f7tu6jcwqrxdrlykh7ts4t62npre8zvtraxh8q45x4utkr42kzlyva5qctp3f8hssgqds6"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_type": "POOL_THRESHOLD",
  "resolution_params": {
    "pool": "orchard",
    "comparator": "lt",
    "threshold_zat": 23690000000000
  },
  "birthday_height": 4540038,
  "close_height": 4540115,
  "resolve_height": 4540120,
  "fee_bps": 100,
  "min_bet_zat": 1000000,
  "refund_fee_zat": 5000,
  "min_confirmations": 3,
  "sweep_threshold_zat": 5000,
  "announce_timeout_blocks": 100,
  "uivk": "uivktest1npjcd5fqtslrym2eccagzk40lku4x4t59s0nvw3lh6hhltr3s0g5uxcsfq9al34k3wvt0h2neu0cscejs6jqskjcdduhxcmut3avm9rrxep8vvv4emah567s76g6yerfm28sj3sjf2",
  "envelope_pk": "XRUYMi3NneAxHilDhIDvQb58WCrKqVCjNFDxP6mliQ0",
  "treasury_address": "utest1ulggulg064gpnnvpz4hg873xfe2xx2yxnr5x59kyt2r8tkjjqc9lx97v8fde6pwwq3q9g0s88c5zzz7msflr3cc6ndfqsfel9k0ud6l3d4tvfvvpnfsjgrnv8kgwu6lat6d8qe7ntq4ugm5clxsp8439yvdr2gc7t7v7e2ulj95gy47qrxdjwsswtguc8yfa5nvd8junhh6yqfrwecv"
}

Viewing key

The public viewing key reveals escrow notes. It does not reveal their senders.

uivktest1npjcd5fqtslrym2eccagzk40lku4x4t59s0nvw3lh6hhltr3s0g5uxcsfq9al34k3wvt0h2neu0cscejs6jqskjcdduhxcmut3avm9rrxep8vvv4emah567s76g6yerfm28sj3sjf2

Verify this market yourself