Will the transparent pool be below 15.8 million TAZ at block 4,540,125?

TESTNET / CLOSE 4,540,120 / RESOLVE 4,540,125

Bets close at block 4,540,120. The result is decided at block 4,540,125. Decided by chain data, with no human vote: the outcome follows whether the transparent pool holds less than 15800000.00000000 ZEC when the market resolves.

Public odds

YES 22%78% NO

0.04 ZEC in the pool.

YES: 0.01 ZEC
NO: 0.03 ZEC

Anonymous feed

Amounts. Outcomes. Blocks. No sender identities.

0.02 ZECNOBlock 4,540,108

0.01 ZECYESBlock 4,540,105

0.01 ZECNOBlock 4,540,099

S-05 / SETTLEMENT

Resolution & payout

POOL_THRESHOLD

Resolved

Outcome: YES

getblock / Block 4540125

000079e861f1485225add1aadb5abe0681c45f0e70da4290e7ea4b6d319f0860

transparent: 15790429.16946166 ZEC

Public payout plan

Confirmed

plan_hash: 0e31b20f9195010a48a75915ba75c00599f7cc18ee130dba0bf06a9b9538a337

STANDARD / Cutoff block 4540194

1 winners / 0 refunds / 0 unclaimable / 1 swept

Distributed: 0.04455000 ZEC
Operator fee: 0.00045000 ZEC
Network fee: 0.00020000 ZEC

Signing: 4 / 4 sessions · 2 of 3 members

Public plan items

Note references and receiver commitments. No payout addresses.
Note	Kind	Amount (ZEC)	Receiver commitment
099381181d62ba28	SWEEP	0.00010000	Treasury
d627ce9ab5778418	WIN	0.04455000	d9d9a294136712fae3c3182a79983425c86eb89fddcbf098a40d6af63dc6b8b3

Payout transactions

These are escrow payout transaction IDs.

Confirmed

1463e52df77ba97e5e52e579cf7265181ee0d8f5e13da6b99bddd73ec22533e5 View on explorer

Confirmed at block 4,540,201

frosted-verify all 8efc3ac8d987bb88c349aa27fb46ed5b

Run this on your own node to recompute the plan. Signing progress for every market is on the payout status page.

On-chain proof

Every step of this market is a real testnet Zcash transaction. Open them in a public explorer to see that they exist and when they were mined. Shielded transactions hide amounts and people, so an explorer shows only that they happened.

Market announced (rules locked on-chain): 864b4af4e542baa2edb2dc6bd9fd2b1f2abbe3c09c445220d8f073e8fbe0b562 View on explorer · block 4,540,058
Bets: Each bet is a shielded transaction in the block shown in the feed above. Bet transaction ids are not published, so bets cannot be linked to anyone.
Payouts: 1463e52df77ba97e5e52e579cf7265181ee0d8f5e13da6b99bddd73ec22533e5 View on explorer

For checkers

You do not need this to bet. It is the raw proof that the rules cannot change and that anyone can recompute the result.

Locked rules

POOL_THRESHOLD · 1% operator fee. Locked at announcement block 4540058. The rules_hash is a fingerprint of these rules: change one character and it changes.

{
  "pool": "transparent",
  "comparator": "lt",
  "threshold_zat": 1580000000000000
}

rules_hash

0c52e712a55c97267fdebea6d2c0314da045aecdf4a48b79a214e5910243e6b3

Full market definition

{
  "version": 1,
  "params_version": 1,
  "network": "testnet",
  "market_id": "8efc3ac8d987bb88c349aa27fb46ed5b",
  "question": "Will the transparent pool be below 15.8 million TAZ at block 4,540,125?",
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "outcome_index": 0,
      "label": "YES",
      "address": "utest1vkvuaqc9jyspax6cg354mzr7r4ujy8wt40fpr9693edff77q8xfxej6x6x6nqdx9v50zj8y6u6ght0jzdx272vl6xrp3w8nxfq8cg600"
    },
    {
      "outcome_index": 1,
      "label": "NO",
      "address": "utest1st83sa288gvcdtqm9es0hx3zpzfs93v67ldgvrmsms6yp35vlwkn6m0m5dvejqktg6ynsk72sry47h58ysxpssu3nj848sdf7c0qcznk"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_type": "POOL_THRESHOLD",
  "resolution_params": {
    "pool": "transparent",
    "comparator": "lt",
    "threshold_zat": 1580000000000000
  },
  "birthday_height": 4540039,
  "close_height": 4540120,
  "resolve_height": 4540125,
  "fee_bps": 100,
  "min_bet_zat": 1000000,
  "refund_fee_zat": 5000,
  "min_confirmations": 3,
  "sweep_threshold_zat": 5000,
  "announce_timeout_blocks": 100,
  "uivk": "uivktest1tapwpyeknvjm94ef852n0kvdwjdgmzp8526j5d3hwg43hce83n8qj50ssyzrrcy5c0smpqdqmszang5e0xhjvn94vrdqy64kkdj37k3rfpgx5cjp2zg8yvc3rkgamlmrfc3qphuafm",
  "envelope_pk": "XRUYMi3NneAxHilDhIDvQb58WCrKqVCjNFDxP6mliQ0",
  "treasury_address": "utest1ulggulg064gpnnvpz4hg873xfe2xx2yxnr5x59kyt2r8tkjjqc9lx97v8fde6pwwq3q9g0s88c5zzz7msflr3cc6ndfqsfel9k0ud6l3d4tvfvvpnfsjgrnv8kgwu6lat6d8qe7ntq4ugm5clxsp8439yvdr2gc7t7v7e2ulj95gy47qrxdjwsswtguc8yfa5nvd8junhh6yqfrwecv"
}

Viewing key

The public viewing key reveals escrow notes. It does not reveal their senders.

uivktest1tapwpyeknvjm94ef852n0kvdwjdgmzp8526j5d3hwg43hce83n8qj50ssyzrrcy5c0smpqdqmszang5e0xhjvn94vrdqy64kkdj37k3rfpgx5cjp2zg8yvc3rkgamlmrfc3qphuafm

Verify this market yourself