Will the transparent pool drop below 15.5 million TAZ at block 4,542,448?

TESTNET / CLOSE 4,542,443 / RESOLVE 4,542,448

Bets close at block 4,542,443. The result is decided at block 4,542,448. Decided by chain data, with no human vote: the outcome follows whether the transparent pool holds less than 15500000.00000000 ZEC when the market resolves.

Public odds

YES 78%22% NO

0.04 ZEC in the pool.

YES: 0.03 ZEC
NO: 0.01 ZEC

Anonymous feed

Amounts. Outcomes. Blocks. No sender identities.

0.01 ZECNOBlock 4,540,199

0.02 ZECYESBlock 4,540,199

0.01 ZECYESBlock 4,540,160

S-05 / SETTLEMENT

Resolution & payout

POOL_THRESHOLD

No public resolution published.

No public payout plan published.

frosted-verify all 75b6ced97706e9347e61007b95dc3455

Run this on your own node to recompute the plan. Signing progress for every market is on the payout status page.

On-chain proof

Every step of this market is a real testnet Zcash transaction. Open them in a public explorer to see that they exist and when they were mined. Shielded transactions hide amounts and people, so an explorer shows only that they happened.

Market announced (rules locked on-chain): 720630b3e644609b95f84c953cda89f698d23c6aa7d56756b7d37b5c205ce77c View on explorer · block 4,540,130
Bets: Each bet is a shielded transaction in the block shown in the feed above. Bet transaction ids are not published, so bets cannot be linked to anyone.
Payouts: Not paid out yet.

For checkers

You do not need this to bet. It is the raw proof that the rules cannot change and that anyone can recompute the result.

Locked rules

POOL_THRESHOLD · 1% operator fee. Locked at announcement block 4540130. The rules_hash is a fingerprint of these rules: change one character and it changes.

{
  "pool": "transparent",
  "comparator": "lt",
  "threshold_zat": 1550000000000000
}

rules_hash

ff764e5445523d26eb49494b6e592fd73f7d4e2c8a28c6d5e65e1b5d875a936b

Full market definition

{
  "version": 1,
  "params_version": 1,
  "network": "testnet",
  "market_id": "75b6ced97706e9347e61007b95dc3455",
  "question": "Will the transparent pool drop below 15.5 million TAZ at block 4,542,448?",
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "outcome_index": 0,
      "label": "YES",
      "address": "utest1g8c8azmmknyx6pkl3lw4p6ydf7pn8cj77s5m5r9904x490rxu2tssrqtyg0zpdcauhpt0zh7zktzkzwgtjyc0p568w294zsffsxrvp37"
    },
    {
      "outcome_index": 1,
      "label": "NO",
      "address": "utest15gnzvmu8au2vuf6xj9n4esu92908z7ctq8cm6fmchylyfg6kx72vzhw6enjnzlxq8zrtss2gj6pv2k5a2x5t83enxtaenqgydun5na0y"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_type": "POOL_THRESHOLD",
  "resolution_params": {
    "pool": "transparent",
    "comparator": "lt",
    "threshold_zat": 1550000000000000
  },
  "birthday_height": 4540045,
  "close_height": 4542443,
  "resolve_height": 4542448,
  "fee_bps": 100,
  "min_bet_zat": 1000000,
  "refund_fee_zat": 5000,
  "min_confirmations": 3,
  "sweep_threshold_zat": 5000,
  "announce_timeout_blocks": 100,
  "uivk": "uivktest1xcm398swayr65t6f22n69lyr7hw6r0grf2naakut5fp8f2pmewq2qzm3czkvpv0sece2cywwq7dknyt26290e6l3fq075ukltgstf4xpttr0rt5rqvrjqkj8f7q4cnr5wztqn48sr9",
  "envelope_pk": "XRUYMi3NneAxHilDhIDvQb58WCrKqVCjNFDxP6mliQ0",
  "treasury_address": "utest1ulggulg064gpnnvpz4hg873xfe2xx2yxnr5x59kyt2r8tkjjqc9lx97v8fde6pwwq3q9g0s88c5zzz7msflr3cc6ndfqsfel9k0ud6l3d4tvfvvpnfsjgrnv8kgwu6lat6d8qe7ntq4ugm5clxsp8439yvdr2gc7t7v7e2ulj95gy47qrxdjwsswtguc8yfa5nvd8junhh6yqfrwecv"
}

Viewing key

The public viewing key reveals escrow notes. It does not reveal their senders.

uivktest1xcm398swayr65t6f22n69lyr7hw6r0grf2naakut5fp8f2pmewq2qzm3czkvpv0sece2cywwq7dknyt26290e6l3fq075ukltgstf4xpttr0rt5rqvrjqkj8f7q4cnr5wztqn48sr9

Verify this market yourself