Will the Ironwood pool hold at least 230,000 TAZ at block 4,541,847?

TESTNET / CLOSE 4,541,842 / RESOLVE 4,541,847

Bets close at block 4,541,842. The result is decided at block 4,541,847. Decided by chain data, with no human vote: the outcome follows whether the ironwood pool holds at least 230000.00000000 ZEC when the market resolves.

Public odds

YES 27%73% NO

0.07 ZEC in the pool.

YES: 0.02 ZEC
NO: 0.05 ZEC

Anonymous feed

Amounts. Outcomes. Blocks. No sender identities.

0.02 ZECYESBlock 4,540,129

0.01 ZECNOBlock 4,540,117

0.02 ZECNOBlock 4,540,116

0.02 ZECNOBlock 4,540,113

S-05 / SETTLEMENT

Resolution & payout

POOL_THRESHOLD

No public resolution published.

No public payout plan published.

frosted-verify all 4e6e1033021cff9cb1a065c1688f43f9

Run this on your own node to recompute the plan. Signing progress for every market is on the payout status page.

On-chain proof

Every step of this market is a real testnet Zcash transaction. Open them in a public explorer to see that they exist and when they were mined. Shielded transactions hide amounts and people, so an explorer shows only that they happened.

Market announced (rules locked on-chain): a042a6f179d50e12dca18fe249a0331b5f2555454ad782314d3125f8443c0a2e View on explorer · block 4,540,109
Bets: Each bet is a shielded transaction in the block shown in the feed above. Bet transaction ids are not published, so bets cannot be linked to anyone.
Payouts: Not paid out yet.

For checkers

You do not need this to bet. It is the raw proof that the rules cannot change and that anyone can recompute the result.

Locked rules

POOL_THRESHOLD · 1% operator fee. Locked at announcement block 4540109. The rules_hash is a fingerprint of these rules: change one character and it changes.

{
  "pool": "ironwood",
  "comparator": "gte",
  "threshold_zat": 23000000000000
}

rules_hash

b95eb53e618918a0238248c00174835bb289a907fd66945d827130326dad97da

Full market definition

{
  "version": 1,
  "params_version": 1,
  "network": "testnet",
  "market_id": "4e6e1033021cff9cb1a065c1688f43f9",
  "question": "Will the Ironwood pool hold at least 230,000 TAZ at block 4,541,847?",
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "outcome_index": 0,
      "label": "YES",
      "address": "utest1nzkgpmds0323er0fykwhz9sezlyga6wpg5jcv7tju6f4949at5k4crefx5pjpjfxtu8cez00p9g2lasnc3gm4al0uqzmevq3svk9c78c"
    },
    {
      "outcome_index": 1,
      "label": "NO",
      "address": "utest1f83hta3j6azq0t4hnenecm05gmjzk06643d7592v05lh76wllr4fdvgzu9lqkf8xx9us0y6hs9tr9rryjng9my9ksl07azaxcsly5kte"
    }
  ],
  "resolution_type": "POOL_THRESHOLD",
  "resolution_params": {
    "pool": "ironwood",
    "comparator": "gte",
    "threshold_zat": 23000000000000
  },
  "birthday_height": 4540042,
  "close_height": 4541842,
  "resolve_height": 4541847,
  "fee_bps": 100,
  "min_bet_zat": 1000000,
  "refund_fee_zat": 5000,
  "min_confirmations": 3,
  "sweep_threshold_zat": 5000,
  "announce_timeout_blocks": 100,
  "uivk": "uivktest14hcwtqwurwauvstcgwzty0sxuslsjfnylcm5skp20w7vvwa5gxarw9p3estz6l9kpj6g33pq2yszghglg9lvgf3vhrphmnernpwr6n77a0j69jcktw6r4p44hp2020lyea3sr722pf",
  "envelope_pk": "XRUYMi3NneAxHilDhIDvQb58WCrKqVCjNFDxP6mliQ0",
  "treasury_address": "utest1ulggulg064gpnnvpz4hg873xfe2xx2yxnr5x59kyt2r8tkjjqc9lx97v8fde6pwwq3q9g0s88c5zzz7msflr3cc6ndfqsfel9k0ud6l3d4tvfvvpnfsjgrnv8kgwu6lat6d8qe7ntq4ugm5clxsp8439yvdr2gc7t7v7e2ulj95gy47qrxdjwsswtguc8yfa5nvd8junhh6yqfrwecv"
}

Viewing key

The public viewing key reveals escrow notes. It does not reveal their senders.

uivktest14hcwtqwurwauvstcgwzty0sxuslsjfnylcm5skp20w7vvwa5gxarw9p3estz6l9kpj6g33pq2yszghglg9lvgf3vhrphmnernpwr6n77a0j69jcktw6r4p44hp2020lyea3sr722pf

Verify this market yourself